What you'll find here
Quantitative analysis of edge data we accumulate. Observations on how 15+ US sportsbooks price relative to sharp consensus across market types and over time, plus how Polymarket and Kalshi line up alongside. Backtests of edge persistence after surfacing. Notes on the math when we tweak something or learn something.
What you won't find
Picks. Predictions. “Three locks for tonight.” This is research, not betting content.
First publications
First notes drop with the engine going public. Until then, the methodology page is the most current description of how the math works, and the learn section covers the conceptual ground.
If you want notice when research notes start publishing, reach out via contact.